Scandinavian Mieses-Kotroc: Win Rate by Lichess Rating

Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation · 1.e4 d5 2.exd5 Qxd5 · CC0 name list

At 1500–1799 (Lichess rating), Black scored 50.0% in 55,590 Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation games (±0.4; games from Oct 2025–Sep 2026).

Black won 48.1% of them, White won 48.1%, and 3.8% were drawn.

No clear difference from 50% at this level (inside the margin)

In games from Oct 2025–Sep 2026, Black scored 50.0% (±0.4) with the Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation in sampled Lichess games at the 1500–1799 Lichess rating level (55,590 games). Observed results, not causation.

Data period: games from 1 Oct 2025 – 30 Sep 2026 (sample of the Lichess open database) · Page updated: 9 Oct 2026

50.0%

Black's score at Lichess rating 1500–1799 · 55,590 games, Oct 2025–Sep 2026 sample

Black scores 50.0% at 1500–1799 and 46.0% under 1200.

Position after 1.e4 d5 2.exd5 Qxd5. 173,538 games in this sample reached it.

At a glance

In this sample, White's score ranged from 49.9% (1800–2099) to 54.0% (Under 1200).
Treat this spread with caution: the margins are approximate (see How it works).
It appeared most often in the 1500–1799 group (3.5% of that group's games).
Draws were most common in the 2100+ group (5.0%).

These are observed results for the selected games (rated, players within 200 rating points of each other). They describe what happened — they do not prove the opening caused the result.

Results by Lichess rating level

Each row shows how the Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation games at one rating level ended: White wins, draws and Black wins, across all time controls combined. Rating level is the average Lichess rating of both players.

White won drawn Black won. Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation — results by Lichess rating level, all time controls combined (minimum 300 games per row).

Under 120024,376 gamesCompared with

White wins 52.2% · draws 3.5% · Black wins 44.3% · White's score 54.0% ±0.6 · how common 3.0%
1200–149940,750 games

White wins 50.3% · draws 3.2% · Black wins 46.5% · White's score 51.9% ±0.5 · how common 3.4%
1500–179955,590 gamesIn the headline

White wins 48.1% · draws 3.8% · Black wins 48.1% · White's score 50.0% ±0.4 · how common 3.5%
1800–209939,410 games

White wins 47.6% · draws 4.5% · Black wins 47.9% · White's score 49.9% ±0.5 · how common 3.0%
2100+13,412 games

White wins 49.2% · draws 5.0% · Black wins 45.8% · White's score 51.7% ±0.8 · how common 1.9%

"White's score" = wins + half of draws. "±" is an approximate 95% margin based only on the number of games. It does not cover sampling bias or related games (the same players appear many times), so real uncertainty is larger. "How common" = share of all sampled games at that level that reached this position. Ratings are Lichess ratings; they are not interchangeable with Chess.com or FIDE ratings.

See the replies most often played next at the Lichess level you choose, on one printable sheet: Prepare replies in Find Your Opening (the sheet needs JavaScript)

Results by time control

Each row shows how the Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation games ended in one Lichess time control, across all rating levels combined.

Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation — results by time control, all rating levels combined (minimum 300 games per row)
Time control	Games	White wins	Draws	Black wins	White's score
Bullet	70,583	48.2%	2.8%	49.0%	49.6%
Blitz	79,968	49.1%	4.5%	46.4%	51.3%
Rapid	22,346	52.3%	4.9%	42.8%	54.7%
Classical	641	55.5%	5.5%	39.0%	58.3%

This table and the rating rows are separate summaries: rating levels are not split by time control here, and time controls are not split by rating. Observed results only; approximate uncertainty applies as above.

Most played replies for White at each level

Top replies with at least 150 games. "Score" is White's score after that reply (wins + half of draws). These comparisons alone can't show that one reply is reliably better — the margins are approximate and stronger or weaker players may prefer different replies.

Replies to 1.e4 d5 2.exd5 Qxd5 by Lichess rating level, all time controls combined
Rating level	Reply · share · games · score
Under 1200	3.Nc3 ·78.9% · 19,202 · 54.6% ±0.7 3.Nf3 ·7.6% · 1,839 · 53.2% ±2.2 3.d4 ·4.8% · 1,176 · 55.0% ±2.8
1200–1499	3.Nc3 ·77.1% · 31,406 · 51.9% ±0.5 3.Nf3 ·10.2% · 4,138 · 51.6% ±1.5 3.d4 ·7.2% · 2,927 · 52.9% ±1.8
1500–1799	3.Nc3 ·70.5% · 39,154 · 49.8% ±0.5 3.Nf3 ·13.4% · 7,462 · 50.5% ±1.1 3.d4 ·10.2% · 5,652 · 50.8% ±1.3
1800–2099	3.Nc3 ·65.4% · 25,774 · 50.0% ±0.6 3.Nf3 ·16.4% · 6,458 · 48.8% ±1.2 3.d4 ·11.9% · 4,677 · 51.2% ±1.4
2100+	3.Nc3 ·66.9% · 8,974 · 52.0% ±1.0 3.Nf3 ·17.0% · 2,277 · 51.5% ±2.0 3.d4 ·10.6% · 1,420 · 50.0% ±2.5

Up next: related positions with a page

Earlier position: Scandinavian Defense 1.e4 d5
Related line: 1.e4 c5 (Sicilian Defense)
Related line: 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 (King's Knight Opening: Normal Variation)
Related line: 1.e4 e6 (French Defense)

Download these numbers: Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation (CSV), released under CC0. For move-by-move exploration with your own filters, see the free Lichess opening explorer. This independent page lists each rating level and each time control in its own row for comparison.